Educational tools only. Not investment, financial, or trading advice. RiskReward.io is not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Calculator outputs do not guarantee results. [DISCLAIMER PLACEHOLDER: pending counsel review]

Expected value & break-even win rate

Understand how win rate, R:R and fees interact, using hypothetical inputs.

Trade math calculator

Trade setup (hypothetical)
Sizing & fees
Gross R:R
-
Net R:R after fees
-
Position size-
Net $ at risk-
Net $ potential gain-
Total fees-
Break-even win rate (net)-
Expected value / trade-

Outputs are arithmetic on the numbers you enter. They are not predictions and not a recommendation to trade.

Formulas

Net break-even win rate = net loss ÷ (net loss + net gain)

EV per trade = p × net gain − (1 − p) × net loss, also shown in R (EV ÷ net loss).

These are textbook statistics over many trials; real results vary and can be worse.